Summer 2022

Your Real Estate Expert for Berkeley and Beyond

  • Deep Market Knowledge
  • Analytical, Strategic, Creative
  • Honest, Adept, Direct

“Marilyn is exceptional. Her knowledge base, enthusiasm for her job, professional ethics, organization, sensitivity to our aesthetic requirements, loyalty and gentle perseverance set her apart.”

-- Bill and Carol Seidel

Marilyn Garcia, PhD

Marilyn Garcia, PhD Broker Associate, Realtor® CA DRE LICENSE #01355514

The Grubb Company 1656 Shattuck Avenue Berkeley, CA 94709

Direct: (510) 390-5406

THE OUTLOOK: North Berkeley & the Berkeley Hills, Summer 2022 results

The real estate market over the summer was noticeably more subdued than in the first half of the year. Buyers were in an absolute frenzy in the spring, anxious to get into the market before interest rates increased, and as a result, prices went up sharply. Over the summer, the spring spike in prices vanished, as buyers became much more cautious. A number of factors together explain why the summer market slowed. The stock market went down (affecting buyers’ down payment funds), and interest rates went up (affecting affordability). Some buyers could no longer afford the type of home they [...]

It’s been 20 years!

It does not feel like it has been this long, but this October marks twenty years that I have been a full-time realtor in Berkeley. I started in real estate with my salesperson’s license in October 2002, and then completed the additional certifications to get my broker’s license in 2006. It was a hard decision to change careers from academia to real estate (I was previously an economics professor at the University of San Francisco), but real estate is my passion, and I haven’t regretted it. I get to apply my economics background in things like analyzing market conditions, thinking [...]

By |September 16th, 2022|Berkeley, General Interest|

REAL ESTATE ANSWERS: How has the negotiating environment changed as the market has shifted?

How has the negotiating environment changed as the market has shifted? When the real estate market is at its strongest, there is not a vast amount of negotiation between buyers and sellers. Buyers make strong offers in competition, often waiving the inspection contingency, and many sellers choose to accept the best offer, rather than negotiate and risk de-stabilizing the transaction. When the market is more balanced, there are fewer offers on properties, and buyers may not feel that they have to make their best offer at the start. An accepted offer might also have an inspection contingency, so there may [...]

By |September 16th, 2022|Buyers, General Interest, Interest rates, Negotiation, Resources, Sellers|

THE OUTLOOK: North Berkeley & the Berkeley Hills, Summer 2022 results

The real estate market over the summer was noticeably more subdued than in the first half of the year. Buyers were in an absolute frenzy in the spring, anxious to get into the market before interest rates increased, and as a result, prices went up sharply.

Over the summer, the spring spike in prices vanished, as buyers became much more cautious. A number of factors together explain why the summer market slowed. The stock market went down (affecting buyers’ down payment funds), and interest rates went up (affecting affordability). Some buyers could no longer afford the type of home they were previously looking at, and there was a pause as they adjusted their plans and expectations. There were also more buyers traveling this summer compared to last. This is the typical seasonal pattern, where the market slows in the summer because people are away. We didn’t see it last year, when fewer people traveled because of COVID, but this year, it was again a factor.

***

NORTH BERKELEY:

Over the summer, there were 34 active listings in North Berkeley, and 24 properties sold. Properties took a bit longer to sell on average, 19 days, compared to an average of 13 days over the spring.

The median sold price for the summer was $1,675,559 in North Berkeley. This is down 5% from the spring (this is the big spring spike in prices going away), but it is still 6% higher than last summer. Sold price per square foot was $1091, which is actually up 5% from the spring, and up 16% from last summer.

***

BERKELEY HILLS:

The Berkeley hills had 49 active listings over the summer, and 48 properties sold. The average days on the market was higher here too compared to the over the spring: 19 days over the summer, compared to 16 days over the spring.

In the hills, the median sold price for the summer was $1,917,500. This is down 4% from the spring (this is the big spring spike in prices going away), but it is still 20% higher than last summer. Sold price per square foot was $916, which is down 15% from the spring extreme, but up 3% from last summer.

***

Most of the summer sales —88% of them in both the hills and North Berkeley—were over list price, but there weren’t as many offers per property. List prices have finally adjusted upwards, and that, along with the more cautious buyer pool, meant that sale prices were not as far above list as in the spring. We seem to be back to our normal 20% – 30% above list price on average, instead of the 40% -100% overbidding that was common in the spring.

What’s going to happen from here? The market has backed off of the spring’s extremes to a more reasonable level. Barring some major economic upheaval, I think we’ll see a pretty stable market going forward, one that is more balanced between buyers and sellers.

It’s been 20 years!

It does not feel like it has been this long, but this October marks twenty years that I have been a full-time realtor in Berkeley. I started in real estate with my salesperson’s license in October 2002, and then completed the additional certifications to get my broker’s license in 2006.

It was a hard decision to change careers from academia to real estate (I was previously an economics professor at the University of San Francisco), but real estate is my passion, and I haven’t regretted it. I get to apply my economics background in things like analyzing market conditions, thinking strategically in negotiations, and doing cost-benefit analyses to help clients make smart financial decisions. I also get to be creative, in designing marketing materials, putting together the perfect photo package of a new listing, or envisioning the ideal look for a property going on the market. The combination of analysis and creativity is the perfect mix for me.

Over the last 20 years, a lot has changed in real estate. Technology has advanced and made it possible to do important tasks electronically, from preparing paperwork, to getting the word out about a new listing, to signing contracts. Social media advertising and individual property websites have become important components of a good marketing plan.

What hasn’t changed? Berkeley continues to be  a great place to live, and a very desirable and resilient real estate market!

 

 

By |September 16th, 2022|Categories: Berkeley, General Interest|Tags: , , , |

REAL ESTATE ANSWERS: How has the negotiating environment changed as the market has shifted?

How has the negotiating environment changed as the market has shifted?

When the real estate market is at its strongest, there is not a vast amount of negotiation between buyers and sellers. Buyers make strong offers in competition, often waiving the inspection contingency, and many sellers choose to accept the best offer, rather than negotiate and risk de-stabilizing the transaction. When the market is more balanced, there are fewer offers on properties, and buyers may not feel that they have to make their best offer at the start. An accepted offer might also have an inspection contingency, so there may be further negotiations during the inspection period.

Most real estate negotiations are over dollar amounts (although timing and other terms can also be negotiated), but the same dollars can be factored into a contract in different ways: as a change in price, as a change in who is paying various closing costs, as a credit towards closing costs for the buyer, or as a buy-down of the buyer’s interest rate by the seller. Each of these possibilities affects the buyer’s and seller’s bottom lines differently, so a strong, creative negotiation strategy weighs the effects of each to find the right one or the right mix.

From a financial perspective, the seller’s goals are relatively simple. Sellers want to maximize their net proceeds, so they want the price as high as possible, and their costs as low as possible. The buyer side is much more complicated. Buyers want to minimize their cost for the purchase, so to keep the sale price and their closing costs as low as possible. Buyers also want to minimize their ongoing costs of ownership: their loan payments (if any) and their annual property taxes. In addition, buyers will consider the available cash they will have after the purchase to make needed repairs or improvements.

When I am negotiating for a seller client, my first step is aways to gather as much information as possible about the buyers and their circumstances.  Are they getting a loan? Will they have plenty of cash on hand after the purchase for needed repairs? Is the monthly cost of ownership their primary constraint, or do they ultimately care the most about the overall purchase price? Will their lender allow credits toward closing costs? How much will a point paid on their loan reduce their monthly payment? Using that information, I can then consider all the various ways to structure potential contract changes, to find an option that will be the most attractive to the seller, while making the deal work for the buyer.

It is all quite complex, but it’s an important part of the process. One of the benefits of longevity in this business is having experience navigating markets of all different strengths. I guess that makes up for the extra wrinkles the years have also brought me!

Your Real Estate Expert for Berkeley and Beyond

  • Deep Market Knowledge
  • Analytical, Strategic, Creative
  • Honest, Adept, Direct

“Marilyn is exceptional. Her knowledge base, enthusiasm for her job, professional ethics, organization, sensitivity to our aesthetic requirements, loyalty and gentle perseverance set her apart.”

-- Bill and Carol Seidel

Marilyn Garcia, PhD

Marilyn Garcia, PhD Broker Associate, Realtor® CA DRE LICENSE #01355514

The Grubb Company 1656 Shattuck Avenue Berkeley, CA 94709

Direct: (510) 390-5406

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